Estudiantes De Merida 0-1 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 25 May 2026

📅25/05/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.9pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.23/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.27
-13% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
251 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
19.7 Crosses 20.3
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.86 xG 1.18
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
347 Passes 198
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.05.2026 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
27.04.2026 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
13.09.2025 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
06.04.2025 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
03.09.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 4-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
16.03.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
0-1
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.26 xG 0.43
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
331 Passes 108
35 Box Touches 18
35 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos nicked a narrow win over Estudiantes De Merida 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Metropolitanos as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 67% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 33%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.26 to 0.43 — the balance of chances actually favoured Estudiantes De Merida.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.33 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Metropolitanos?

Estudiantes De Merida 0-1 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 25/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 33%, draw 26%, Metropolitanos 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metropolitanos) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metropolitanos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
25 May 2026
00:00 Carabobo vs Deportivo Tachira Analysis →