Super Nova 1-5 FS Jelgava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 25 Jun 2026

📅25/06/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.4pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.9pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Super Nova EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.07/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.34
-4% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
273 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
19.9 Crosses 24.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Super Nova
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FS Jelgava
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.68 xG 1.21
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
271 Passes 306
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2026 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-0 HT 0-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
15.03.2026 Super Nova Super Nova 1-1 HT 0-1 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
04.10.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 1-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
20.07.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-0 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
21.05.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 0-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
05.04.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-1 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Super Nova
1-5
AWAY FS Jelgava
0.86 xG 2.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 5
331 Passes 208
19 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Super Nova vs FS Jelgava
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FS Jelgava ran out comfortable winners over Super Nova 5-1 away from home in the Latvia - Virsliga on 25 Jun 2026. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Super Nova had 54% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 46%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.86 to 2.02.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, FS Jelgava lead the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Super Nova and 1.00 for FS Jelgava.

What was the final score of Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?

Super Nova 1-5 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 25/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 38%, draw 34%, FS Jelgava 28%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Super Nova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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