BFC Daugavpils 0-0 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 25 Jun 2026

📅25/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.91
Draw
16%
4.81
Away
71%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
3%
X/2
24%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
13%
-0.7pp
16%
Draw
17%
-0.8pp
71%
Away Win
70%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.8pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.07/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/0.81
-24% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +35%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
231 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 86%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.9
12.1 Crosses 27.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFC Daugavpils
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Riga FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.94 xG 2.83
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
176 Passes 440
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 48
14 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2026 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-3 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
14.03.2026 Riga FC Riga FC 4-2 HT 2-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
29.09.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
06.07.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 1-1 HT 0-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
14.05.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
29.03.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 1-2 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFC Daugavpils
0-0
AWAY Riga FC
0.94 xG 1.07
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 0
239 Passes 483
22 Box Touches 40
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFC Daugavpils and Riga FC fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Riga FC at 71% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 42% of the ball to Riga FC's 58%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.94 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 1.83 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC?

BFC Daugavpils 0-0 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 25/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 13%, draw 16%, Riga FC 71%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Riga FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET More Latvia - Virsliga
25 Jun 2026
17:00 Grobina vs Auda Analysis →
20:00 Super Nova vs FS Jelgava Analysis →