Djurgarden 3-0 Progres Niedercorn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.18
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.51
Over
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
24%
5.33
2-3
39%
1.99
4-5
27%
2.68
6+
10%
6.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.33 — our 24% vs market 14.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Djurgarden win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
64%
Home Win
80%
-15.6pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.4pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+10.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.0pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Progres Niedercorn The Market 9%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-60% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +14%
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
489 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
3-0
AWAY Progres Niedercorn
54% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs Progres Niedercorn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden cruised past Progres Niedercorn 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Djurgarden as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Djurgarden had 54% of the ball to Progres Niedercorn's 46%, shots finished 4-11.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Progres Niedercorn?

Djurgarden 3-0 Progres Niedercorn in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Progres Niedercorn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 64%, draw 20%, Progres Niedercorn 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djurgarden), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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