Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 Mornar Bar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.45
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.24
2-3 Goals
48%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
7%
14.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
65%
-15.5pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.0pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Mornar Bar EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1-0
AWAY Mornar Bar
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Mornar Bar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac edged past Mornar Bar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 60% of the ball to Mornar Bar's 40%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Mornar Bar?

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 Mornar Bar in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Mornar Bar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 49%, draw 29%, Mornar Bar 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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