Zimbru 0-3 FC Ararat-Armenia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.93
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
18.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Ararat-Armenia EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
0-3
AWAY FC Ararat-Armenia
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs FC Ararat-Armenia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Ararat-Armenia swept aside Zimbru 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day FC Ararat-Armenia made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Zimbru had 49% of the ball to FC Ararat-Armenia's 51%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs FC Ararat-Armenia?

Zimbru 0-3 FC Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs FC Ararat-Armenia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Ararat-Armenia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 33%, draw 28%, FC Ararat-Armenia 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Ararat-Armenia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Ararat-Armenia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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