Zrinjski Mostar 0-1 NK Bravo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 33% vs market 27.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Bravo EU Bookmakers 19%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
425 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
0-1
AWAY NK Bravo
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zrinjski Mostar vs NK Bravo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Bravo nicked a narrow win over Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Zrinjski Mostar at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Zrinjski Mostar had 71% of the ball to NK Bravo's 29%, shots finished 15-5.

What was the final score of Zrinjski Mostar vs NK Bravo?

Zrinjski Mostar 0-1 NK Bravo in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinjski Mostar vs NK Bravo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zrinjski Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zrinjski Mostar 49%, draw 26%, NK Bravo 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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