IFK Mariehamn 1-1 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
60%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
2.8
6+ Goals
9%
7.97
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.33 — our 28% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.81
1/2
9%
20.2
1/X
6%
16.95
X/1
7%
11.45
X/2
23%
4.12
X/X
8%
6.33
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
28%
1.86
2/X
5%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+2.8pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.8pp
60%
Away Win
61%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 66%
-13% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-24% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
252 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 451 · 85%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Oulu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.02 xG 1.16
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 Passes 369
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.06.2026 Oulu Oulu 2-1 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
18.10.2025 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-0 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
26.07.2025 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-1 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
17.05.2025 Oulu Oulu 0-1 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
19.10.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-2 HT 1-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
01.09.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-1 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
1-1
AWAY Oulu
2.29 xG 1.81
18 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 9
264 Passes 396
26 Box Touches 39
21 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ IFK Mariehamn vs Oulu
Match summary & frequently asked questions

IFK Mariehamn and Oulu shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 25 Jul 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 2.29 to 1.81.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Mariehamn have the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 0.83 for Oulu.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs Oulu?

IFK Mariehamn 1-1 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 21%, draw 19%, Oulu 60%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oulu) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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