Marsilya 0-3 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2026

Marsilya
0-3 HT 0-2
Nice
📅25/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Marsilya vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.76
6+ Goals
10%
7.66
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 26% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.45
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
15%
4.79
X/2
7%
8.09
X/X
9%
5.61
2/1
8%
20.85
2/2
10%
5.51
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Marsilya win — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
50%
+4.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.6pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marsilya v Nice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsilya EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -17%
1.93/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.61
+14% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
– Crosses 5.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.7

Marsilya vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsilya
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nice
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.67 xG 1.32
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
464 Passes 339
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.04.2026 Marsilya Marsilya 1-1 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
21.11.2025 Nice Nice 1-5 HT 0-2 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
26.01.2025 Nice Nice 2-0 HT 1-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
14.09.2024 Marsilya Marsilya 2-0 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
24.04.2024 Marsilya Marsilya 2-2 HT 1-1 Nice Nice FR1
21.10.2023 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 0-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
POST-MATCH Marsilya vs Nice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice ran out comfortable winners over Marsilya 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Marsilya at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Marsilya and 1.17 for Nice.

What was the final score of Marsilya vs Nice?

Marsilya 0-3 Nice in the Friendlies on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsilya vs Nice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Marsilya 54%, draw 23%, Nice 23%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Marsilya), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marsilya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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