Los Angeles Galaxy 2-0 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.53
2-3 Goals
40%
2.14
4-5 Goals
28%
2.5
6+ Goals
12%
5.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.12
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
22%
4.48
X/2
8%
9.52
X/X
9%
6.8
2/1
7%
19.05
2/2
10%
5.86
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.0pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
2.05/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.55
+8% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
17.7 Crosses 16.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Atlanta United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.01 xG 2.68
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
336 Passes 454
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.07.2022 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-0 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
04.08.2019 Atlanta United Atlanta United 3-0 HT 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
22.04.2018 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 0-2 HT 0-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
21.09.2017 Atlanta United Atlanta United 4-0 HT 4-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
2-0
AWAY Atlanta United
4.20 xG 1.03
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 0
763 Passes 286
93% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Los Angeles Galaxy vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles Galaxy beat Atlanta United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Los Angeles Galaxy as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Los Angeles Galaxy had 70% of the ball to Atlanta United's 30%, shots finished 20-17, expected goals 4.20 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atlanta United led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Los Angeles Galaxy and 2.25 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Atlanta United?

Los Angeles Galaxy 2-0 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles Galaxy 51%, draw 24%, Atlanta United 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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