Real Salt Lake 0-2 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.96
Over Pick
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
21%
7.13
2-3
34%
2.2
4-5
28%
2.45
6+
17%
4.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.55
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.35
X/1
26%
3.82
X/2
8%
16.75
X/X
9%
8.83
2/1
9%
18.7
2/2
6%
11.0
2/X
5%
19.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.7 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-10.5pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.0pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.63/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.08
+5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
423 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
20.1 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Salt Lake
3W-1D-2L
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.01 xG 1.35
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 Passes 376
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 HT 2-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
23.04.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-1 HT 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
31.07.2022 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-2 HT 1-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
19.06.2022 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-0 HT 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
30.10.2021 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-4 HT 1-2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
16.09.2021 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 3-4 HT 1-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Salt Lake
0-2
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
0.66 xG 2.01
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
472 Passes 257
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Jose Earthquakes got the better of Real Salt Lake 2-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Real Salt Lake carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Salt Lake had 63% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 37%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 0.66 to 2.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Salt Lake had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Real Salt Lake and 2.00 for San Jose Earthquakes.

What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Real Salt Lake 0-2 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Salt Lake win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Real Salt Lake 60%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 19%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Salt Lake) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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