Bodo-Glimt 3-2 Porto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.97
Over Pick
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.66
2-3
43%
1.81
4-5
24%
3.3
6+
9%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.69
1/2 EV
7%
23.15
1/X
4%
14.25
X/1
12%
7.8
X/2
14%
4.34
X/X
12%
5.1
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.51
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodo-Glimt The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto The Market 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / +100%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodo-Glimt
3-2
AWAY Porto
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 28
7 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
296 Passes 518
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
POST-MATCH Bodo-Glimt vs Porto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodo-Glimt nicked a narrow win over Porto 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Porto at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bodo-Glimt had 38% of the ball to Porto's 62%, shots finished 11-28.

What was the final score of Bodo-Glimt vs Porto?

Bodo-Glimt 3-2 Porto in the UEFA Europa League on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodo-Glimt vs Porto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bodo-Glimt 33%, draw 23%, Porto 44%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Porto), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Porto) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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