Ludogorets Razgrad 0-2 Slavia Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.75
Over
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.95
2-3
38%
1.77
4-5
20%
3.95
6+
11%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.95 — our 31% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.21
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
6%
7.79
X/2
16%
4.1
X/X
13%
4.59
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.54
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Prag The Market 54%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.03/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.44
-53% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
13.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
12.1 Crosses 16.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
0-2
AWAY Slavia Prag
0.89 xG 1.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
285 Passes 395
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Slavia Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Prag beat Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slavia Prag as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 43% of the ball to Slavia Prag's 57%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.89 to 1.25.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Slavia Prag?

Ludogorets Razgrad 0-2 Slavia Prag in the UEFA Europa League on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Slavia Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 28%, draw 28%, Slavia Prag 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Prag), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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