Dynamo Kiev 0-3 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.71
Over
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.85
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
21%
4.09
6+
9%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.85 — our 31% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.9
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
6%
6.58
X/2
17%
4.84
X/X
18%
4.06
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.16
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Kiev The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio The Market 45%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
0.45/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.62
-29% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
13.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
12.1 Crosses 13.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Kiev
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Lazio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.03 xG 2.25
45% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
306 Passes 379
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2018 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 0-2 HT 0-1 Lazio Lazio AVL
08.03.2018 Lazio Lazio 2-2 HT 0-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Kiev
0-3
AWAY Lazio
0.49 xG 2.24
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
451 Passes 334
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dynamo Kiev vs Lazio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio swept aside Dynamo Kiev 3-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lazio as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dynamo Kiev had 56% of the ball to Lazio's 44%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.49 to 2.24.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lazio led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dynamo Kiev and 2.00 for Lazio.

What was the final score of Dynamo Kiev vs Lazio?

Dynamo Kiev 0-3 Lazio in the UEFA Europa League on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Kiev vs Lazio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Kiev 27%, draw 30%, Lazio 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lazio) ✗ Under 2.5
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