Midtjylland 1-1 Hoffenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
41%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.51
Over
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.41
No
45%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1
25%
5.77
2-3
37%
2.04
4-5
27%
2.61
6+
11%
6.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
2.99
1/2
10%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
13%
5.48
X/2
14%
6.55
X/X
11%
5.99
2/1
12%
22.3
2/2
17%
3.82
2/X
6%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+7.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
67%
-12.0pp
45%
BTTS No
33%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim The Market 37%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.73/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.32
+30% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / +73%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.1
12.0 Crosses 19.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
1-1
AWAY Hoffenheim
2.10 xG 1.44
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
344 Passes 355
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Hoffenheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland and Hoffenheim shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Midtjylland had 49% of the ball to Hoffenheim's 51%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.10 to 1.44.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Hoffenheim?

Midtjylland 1-1 Hoffenheim in the UEFA Europa League on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Hoffenheim?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 36%, draw 23%, Hoffenheim 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hoffenheim), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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