Bodo / Glimt vs Porto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bodo / Glimt v Porto — Team-Based Signals
Bodo / Glimt 3-2 Porto — Actual Match Statistics
Bodo / Glimt edged past Porto 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Porto at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Bodo / Glimt had 37% of the ball to Porto's 63%, shots finished 11-28, expected goals 2.09 to 2.56 — on chances, Porto could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Bodo / Glimt vs Porto?
Bodo / Glimt 3-2 Porto in the UEFA Europa League on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bodo / Glimt vs Porto?
Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bodo / Glimt 33%, draw 23%, Porto 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Porto), BTTS No went the other way.