HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HNK Gorica v NK Varazdin — Team-Based Signals
HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
HNK Gorica 1-2 NK Varazdin — Actual Match Statistics
NK Varazdin edged past HNK Gorica 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was HNK Gorica at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, HNK Gorica had 52% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 48%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.79 to 1.54.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Varazdin led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HNK Gorica and 1.33 for NK Varazdin.
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin?
HNK Gorica 1-2 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 26/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin?
Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 42%, draw 26%, NK Varazdin 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.