Ventforet Kofu 2-1 Fujieda MYFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.73
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
14%
5.62
X/2
14%
5.75
X/X
10%
4.49
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
17%
3.86
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 39%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
0.77/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-45% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Fujieda MYFC
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
169 Passes 254
64% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2025 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 3-3 HT 2-2 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
10.08.2024 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 3-0 HT 2-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
01.06.2024 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 2-1 HT 1-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
09.07.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 1-4 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
11.03.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 2-1 HT 1-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
2-1
AWAY Fujieda MYFC
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs Fujieda MYFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ventforet Kofu edged past Fujieda MYFC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Ventforet Kofu found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 38% of the ball to Fujieda MYFC's 62%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ventforet Kofu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 1.40 for Fujieda MYFC.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs Fujieda MYFC?

Ventforet Kofu 2-1 Fujieda MYFC in the Japan - League Cup on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs Fujieda MYFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ventforet Kofu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 38%, draw 25%, Fujieda MYFC 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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