Slovakya 3-4 Kosova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 26 Mar 2026

📅26/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
25%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.14
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
5.39
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
3.5
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
10%
14.2
X/1
11%
4.81
X/2
9%
6.04
X/X
14%
3.56
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
12%
4.96
2/X
6%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+4.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-4.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovakya EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kosova EU Bookmakers 33%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +56% / +56%
1.46/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.26
-2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.9 Crosses 14.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovakya
3-4
AWAY Kosova
1.75 xG 1.13
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
377 Passes 241
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slovakya vs Kosova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kosova nicked a narrow win over Slovakya 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Slovakya at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slovakya had 58% of the ball to Kosova's 42%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.75 to 1.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured Slovakya.

What was the final score of Slovakya vs Kosova?

Slovakya 3-4 Kosova in the World Cup Qualifiers on 26/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovakya vs Kosova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovakya win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Slovakya 44%, draw 30%, Kosova 25%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slovakya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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