Cholet 1-2 Rouen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 26 Apr 2024

Cholet
1-2 HT 1-1
Rouen
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.73
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.29
6+ Goals
7%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 33% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.17
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
7%
5.68
X/2
11%
5.15
X/X
18%
4.06
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.64
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.8pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.3pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cholet EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rouen EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.15/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.88
-6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cholet
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rouen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
01.12.2023 Rouen Rouen 5-1 HT 3-0 Cholet Cholet FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cholet
1-2
AWAY Rouen
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Cholet vs Rouen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rouen edged past Cholet 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 34% / 35% — and on the day Rouen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cholet had 44% of the ball to Rouen's 56%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Cholet vs Rouen?

Cholet 1-2 Rouen in the France - National League 1 on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cholet vs Rouen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Cholet 31%, draw 34%, Rouen 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rouen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rouen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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