Niort 1-3 Martigues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.83
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
19.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.34
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.6
X/1
15%
5.04
X/2
9%
6.33
X/X
10%
3.98
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
8%
4.63
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
41%
+5.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.8pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niort EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Martigues EU Bookmakers 33%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +9%
1.52/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.86
+17% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niort
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Martigues
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.12.2023 Martigues Martigues 1-0 HT 0-0 Niort Niort FR3
03.05.2002 Niort Niort 2-1 HT 0-0 Martigues Martigues FR2
29.07.2001 Martigues Martigues 1-1 HT 1-1 Niort Niort FR2
04.11.2000 Niort Niort 6-1 HT 3-0 Martigues Martigues FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Niort
1-3
AWAY Martigues
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Niort vs Martigues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Martigues saw off Niort 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Niort at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Niort had 68% of the ball to Martigues's 32%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Niort had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Niort and 1.00 for Martigues.

What was the final score of Niort vs Martigues?

Niort 1-3 Martigues in the France - National League 1 on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niort vs Martigues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niort win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Niort 46%, draw 26%, Martigues 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Niort), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Niort) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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