Dijon 3-0 Monts dOr Azergues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.99
6+ Goals
12%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.11
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.55
X/1
15%
4.69
X/2
12%
6.39
X/X
10%
4.33
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
16%
4.79
2/X
5%
13.85
Value flag · 1/X at 13.55 — our 11% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Monts dOr Azergues EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.23/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.28
-14% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Monts dOr Azergues
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.01.2024 Monts dOr Azergues Monts dOr Azergues 1-2 HT 0-1 Dijon Dijon FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon
3-0
AWAY Monts dOr Azergues
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dijon vs Monts dOr Azergues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon cruised past Monts dOr Azergues 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dijon as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dijon had 58% of the ball to Monts dOr Azergues's 42%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Dijon vs Monts dOr Azergues?

Dijon 3-0 Monts dOr Azergues in the France - National League 1 on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon vs Monts dOr Azergues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dijon 41%, draw 26%, Monts dOr Azergues 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dijon), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dijon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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