Marignane GCB 1-2 Sochaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.01
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.88
6+ Goals
11%
17.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.22
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
10%
5.87
X/2
9%
5.07
X/X
13%
4.35
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
20%
3.43
2/X
5%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marignane GCB EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sochaux EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.63/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.36
+34% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
229 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marignane GCB
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sochaux
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
01.12.2023 Sochaux Sochaux 4-0 HT 1-0 Marignane GCB Marignane GCB FR3
POST-MATCH Marignane GCB vs Sochaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sochaux edged past Marignane GCB 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sochaux found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Marignane GCB vs Sochaux?

Marignane GCB 1-2 Sochaux in the France - National League 1 on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marignane GCB vs Sochaux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marignane GCB win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Marignane GCB 38%, draw 27%, Sochaux 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marignane GCB), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marignane GCB) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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