26/04/2024
·
20:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Marignane GCB vs Sochaux Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
27%
Draw
28%
35%
Away Win
39%
53%
Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 2.5
47%
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
48%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marignane GCB v Sochaux — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Marignane GCB
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sochaux
EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% /
-1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-15% /
-15%
1.63/1.19
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.97/1.36
+34%
/
-3%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-23%
/
-15%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
6
229 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
292 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
Marignane GCB vs Sochaux Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Marignane GCB
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Sochaux
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
4.00
The Meetings
01.12.2023
Sochaux
4-0
HT 1-0
Marignane GCB
FR3
4-0
HT 1-0
Marignane GCB
FR3
POST-MATCH
Marignane GCB vs Sochaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sochaux edged past Marignane GCB 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sochaux found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Marignane GCB vs Sochaux?
Marignane GCB 1-2 Sochaux in the France - National League 1 on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marignane GCB vs Sochaux?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marignane GCB win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Marignane GCB 38%, draw 27%, Sochaux 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marignane GCB), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Marignane GCB)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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FR3
More France - National League 1
26 Apr 2024