Ebbsfleet United 0-2 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Apr 2025

Ebbsfleet United
0-2 HT 0-0
Maidenhead United
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
2.21
Over
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
28%
4.21
2-3
38%
1.86
4-5
24%
2.84
6+
10%
8.2
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.21 — our 28% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.66
1/2
8%
20.75
1/X
7%
16.9
X/1
9%
11.25
X/2
14%
4.23
X/X
11%
6.26
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
26%
1.95
2/X
9%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-10.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ebbsfleet United v Maidenhead United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.23/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.08/0.00
+7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
146 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 91%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Maidenhead United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.09.2024 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-1 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
23.01.2024 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
21.11.2023 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
25.02.2020 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-3 HT 1-3 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
12.10.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-2 HT 1-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
12.03.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL

Ebbsfleet United 0-2 Maidenhead United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
0-2
AWAY Maidenhead United
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
0 Passes 2
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United beat Ebbsfleet United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maidenhead United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 54% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 46%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 1.00 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead United?

Ebbsfleet United 0-2 Maidenhead United in the England - National League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maidenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 26%, draw 26%, Maidenhead United 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidenhead United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maidenhead United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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