Buxton 2-0 Warrington Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.29
Over
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
41%
4-5
24%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Buxton win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-13.1pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.4pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+8.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 14%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.80/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.42
-10% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +36%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buxton
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Warrington Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.12.2024 Warrington Town Warrington Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
23.01.2024 Buxton Buxton 0-6 HT 0-1 Warrington Town Warrington Town İCON
15.08.2023 Warrington Town Warrington Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
15.01.2022 Buxton Buxton 3-3 HT 2-3 Warrington Town Warrington Town İNGNLP
14.09.2021 Warrington Town Warrington Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Buxton Buxton İNGNLP
27.10.2020 Warrington Town Warrington Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buxton
2-0
AWAY Warrington Town
71% Ball Possession 29%
25 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
16 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Warrington Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton got the better of Warrington Town 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Buxton as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Buxton had 71% of the ball to Warrington Town's 29%, shots finished 25-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Warrington Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Buxton and 2.17 for Warrington Town.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Warrington Town?

Buxton 2-0 Warrington Town in the England - Conference on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Warrington Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Buxton 59%, draw 22%, Warrington Town 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buxton), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buxton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
26 Apr 2025
17:00 Spennymoor Town vs Oxford City Analysis →
17:00 Farnborough vs Maidstone United Analysis →
17:00 Eastbourne Borough vs Weston-super-Mare Analysis →
17:00 Slough Town vs Hampton & Richmond Analysis →
17:00 Enfield Town vs Worthing Analysis →
17:00 Truro City vs St. Albans City Analysis →