Fleetwood Town 2-0 Newport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2025

Fleetwood Town
2-0 HT 0-0
Newport County
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Fleetwood Town vs Newport County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.97
Over Pick
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.44
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
25%
3.22
6+
11%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.0
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
16.05
X/1
16%
4.02
X/2
10%
10.85
X/X
10%
5.76
2/1 ✗
10%
22.45
2/2
10%
8.93
2/X
7%
17.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.45 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fleetwood Town v Newport County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport County EU Bookmakers 21%
-26% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.82/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.49
-40% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 67%
34.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
22.7 Crosses 14.8
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Fleetwood Town vs Newport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Newport County
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.02 xG 1.27
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 Passes 248
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.10.2024 Newport County Newport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN2
04.03.2014 Newport County Newport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN2
02.11.2013 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 4-1 HT 1-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
17.12.2011 Newport County Newport County 0-1 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İBSL
11.10.2011 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-4 HT 1-3 Newport County Newport County İBSL
05.03.2011 Newport County Newport County 1-3 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İBSL

Fleetwood Town 2-0 Newport County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
2-0
AWAY Newport County
1.06 xG 0.55
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
428 Passes 242
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 15
31 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Newport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town got the better of Newport County 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fleetwood Town as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 61% of the ball to Newport County's 39%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.06 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fleetwood Town and 1.00 for Newport County.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Newport County?

Fleetwood Town 2-0 Newport County in the England - 2nd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Newport County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 50%, draw 25%, Newport County 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fleetwood Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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