Cavese 1-1 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.01
6+ Goals
8%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.2pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
54%
Away Win
53%
+1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavese EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 57%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.61/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-38% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
230 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavese
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2025 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 2-1 HT 1-0 Cavese Cavese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavese
1-1
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cavese vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavese and Cosenza Calcio couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cosenza Calcio at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cavese had 53% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 47%, shots finished 5-11.

What was the final score of Cavese vs Cosenza Calcio?

Cavese 1-1 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavese vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cavese 25%, draw 21%, Cosenza Calcio 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cosenza Calcio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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