Chicago Fire 5-0 Sporting Kansas City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 Apr 2026

Chicago Fire
5-0 HT 0-0
Sporting Kansas City
📅26/04/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2026

Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.44
2-3 Goals
37%
2.11
4-5 Goals
24%
2.41
6+ Goals
15%
4.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.57
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
17.25
X/1
19%
4.13
X/2
6%
15.2
X/X
8%
8.49
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
17.95
2/2
5%
11.05
2/X
5%
19.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.95 — our 7% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
68%
-0.7pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.2pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chicago Fire v Sporting Kansas City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.64/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.00
-16% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
16.7 Crosses 14.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chicago Fire
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 1.53
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
346 Passes 395
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.07.2024 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-1 HT 1-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire CONLK
25.06.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 0-1 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
20.03.2022 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 3-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
12.09.2021 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-0 HT 2-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
17.10.2020 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 2-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
08.10.2020 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 1-0 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD

Chicago Fire 5-0 Sporting Kansas City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chicago Fire
5-0
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
3.03 xG 0.37
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
668 Passes 216
91% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chicago Fire cruised past Sporting Kansas City 5-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chicago Fire as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chicago Fire had 71% of the ball to Sporting Kansas City's 29%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 3.03 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Kansas City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chicago Fire and 1.33 for Sporting Kansas City.

What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?

Chicago Fire 5-0 Sporting Kansas City in the USA - Major League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 68%, draw 17%, Sporting Kansas City 15%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chicago Fire), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chicago Fire) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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