St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Louis City v San Jose Earthquakes — Team-Based Signals
St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
St. Louis City
ABD
3-0
HT 2-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
St. Louis City 2-3 San Jose Earthquakes — Actual Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes nicked a narrow win over St. Louis City 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was St. Louis City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) came in.
On the day, St. Louis City had 58% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 42%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.59 to 1.54 — the balance of chances actually favoured St. Louis City.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Louis City had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for St. Louis City and 0.67 for San Jose Earthquakes.
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
St. Louis City 2-3 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 45%, draw 22%, San Jose Earthquakes 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Louis City) went the other way.