Austin 2-0 Houston Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.54
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 31% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.89
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
11%
6.03
X/2
16%
5.63
X/X
14%
4.76
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
13%
3.5
2/X
5%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austin EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
1.33/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.41
-8% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
331 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 83%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
20.6 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austin
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 1.35
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
289 Passes 440
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Austin Austin 2-2 HT 2-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
22.05.2025 Austin Austin 3-1 HT 1-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABDK
27.04.2025 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-0 HT 0-0 Austin Austin ABD
22.09.2024 Austin Austin 0-1 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
16.05.2024 Austin Austin 1-0 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
21.04.2024 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-1 HT 0-0 Austin Austin ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austin
2-0
AWAY Houston Dynamo
0.85 xG 0.76
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
363 Passes 466
85% Pass Accuracy 91%
24 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Austin vs Houston Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austin got the better of Houston Dynamo 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Austin made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Austin had 45% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 55%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.85 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austin had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Austin and 1.00 for Houston Dynamo.

What was the final score of Austin vs Houston Dynamo?

Austin 2-0 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austin vs Houston Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Austin 39%, draw 27%, Houston Dynamo 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austin), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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