FC Cincinnati 2-0 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.98
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.3pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.5pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+7.8pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.5pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -16%
1.75/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.58
-7% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
14.6 Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
2W-1D-3L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.30 xG 1.38
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
354 Passes 340
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2026 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-2 HT 1-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
05.10.2025 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
23.02.2025 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-0 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
21.07.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
07.04.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-2 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
05.11.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
2-0
AWAY New York Red Bulls
2.87 xG 1.45
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
396 Passes 415
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 36
10 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati beat New York Red Bulls 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Cincinnati as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 48% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 52%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 2.87 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.67 for New York Red Bulls.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls?

FC Cincinnati 2-0 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 50%, draw 19%, New York Red Bulls 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Cincinnati) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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