Inter Miami 1-1 New England Revolution — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.47
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.63
Over 2.5
66%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
63%
+2.2pp
16%
Draw
20%
-3.7pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+1.5pp
34%
Under 2.5
34%
+0.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
66%
-0.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
2.21/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.06
+29% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
405 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 81%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
13.9 Crosses 16.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
5W-0D-1L
AWAY New England Revolution
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.49 xG 1.19
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
488 Passes 374
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-1 HT 2-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
10.07.2025 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-2 HT 0-2 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
20.10.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 6-2 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
28.04.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-4 HT 1-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
11.06.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 3-1 HT 2-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
14.05.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 2-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
1-1
AWAY New England Revolution
2.71 xG 1.58
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 1
644 Passes 294
91% Pass Accuracy 86%
29 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs New England Revolution
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami and New England Revolution couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Inter Miami at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Inter Miami had 68% of the ball to New England Revolution's 32%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 2.71 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Inter Miami and 1.50 for New England Revolution.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs New England Revolution?

Inter Miami 1-1 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs New England Revolution?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 66%, draw 16%, New England Revolution 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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