DC United vs Orlando City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
DC United v Orlando City — Team-Based Signals
DC United vs Orlando City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
DC United
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
Orlando City
ABD
DC United 3-2 Orlando City — Actual Match Statistics
DC United nicked a narrow win over Orlando City 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had DC United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, DC United had 38% of the ball to Orlando City's 62%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.08 to 0.79.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for DC United and 2.50 for Orlando City.
What was the final score of DC United vs Orlando City?
DC United 3-2 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for DC United vs Orlando City?
Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split DC United 57%, draw 21%, Orlando City 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (DC United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.