Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 NK Varazdin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
77%
1.18
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.74
Over
63%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.07
No
49%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
21%
5.7
2-3
36%
2.01
4-5
28%
2.44
6+
15%
5.26
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.7 — our 21% vs market 12.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Varazdin The Market 9%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
2.03/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.40
+32% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +34%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
425 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
20.4 Crosses 13.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
4W-2D-0L
AWAY NK Varazdin
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.96 xG 0.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
384 Passes 310
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2026 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-4 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
22.11.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 HT 2-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
30.08.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
25.05.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HT 1-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
30.03.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
22.12.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-2 HT 2-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
2-1
AWAY NK Varazdin
1.19 xG 0.47
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
482 Passes 239
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Dinamo Zagreb squeezed past NK Varazdin 2-1. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Dinamo Zagreb had 64% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 36%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.19 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.00 for NK Varazdin.

Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin Result & Final Score

Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 77%, draw 14%, NK Varazdin 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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HIR More Croatia - 1. HNL
26 Apr 2026
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