NK Varazdin 0-4 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
59%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 29% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
21%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
59%
Away Win
55%
+3.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 59%
+23% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.27/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.97
+33% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
13.9 Crosses 21.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Varazdin
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.67 xG 1.78
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
313 Passes 354
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 HT 2-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
30.08.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
25.05.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HT 1-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
30.03.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
22.12.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-2 HT 2-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
06.10.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Varazdin
0-4
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 5
POST-MATCH NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb ran out comfortable winners over NK Varazdin 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, NK Varazdin had 36% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 64%, shots finished 4-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NK Varazdin and 1.83 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb?

NK Varazdin 0-4 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 16%, draw 26%, Dinamo Zagreb 59%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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