Hajduk Split 1-0 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.07
6+ Goals
10%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.68/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.25
+15% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
276 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 73%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
16.3 Crosses 14.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rijeka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.14 xG 1.23
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
378 Passes 237
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.11.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 5-0 HT 3-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
31.08.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-2 HT 1-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
18.05.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
16.03.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 2-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
26.02.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-3 HT 1-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIRK
15.12.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-2 HT 2-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
1-0
AWAY Rijeka
1.26 xG 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
404 Passes 242
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split nicked a narrow win over Rijeka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 60% of the ball to Rijeka's 40%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.26 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hajduk Split and 2.67 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Rijeka?

Hajduk Split 1-0 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 48%, draw 25%, Rijeka 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR More Croatia - 1. HNL
22 Feb 2026
17:00 NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb Analysis →