Orange County SC 1-2 El Paso Locomotive — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
33%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
50%
Away Win
50%
+0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
232 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orange County SC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.02 xG 0.70
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
399 Passes 399
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2025 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-0 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
15.06.2025 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 0-3 HT 0-3 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
17.10.2024 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 0-2 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
18.08.2024 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-1 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
22.10.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 1-0 HT 1-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
10.09.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-0 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
POST-MATCH Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Paso Locomotive squeezed past Orange County SC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had El Paso Locomotive as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orange County SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Orange County SC and 0.17 for El Paso Locomotive.

What was the final score of Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive?

Orange County SC 1-2 El Paso Locomotive in the USLKP on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive?

Before kick-off our model rated an El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Orange County SC 27%, draw 23%, El Paso Locomotive 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Paso Locomotive), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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