Toluca 2-0 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 26 May 2025

📅26/05/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.9pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toluca EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 42%
+17% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
1.40/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.00
+58% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
15.3 Crosses 16.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toluca
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Club America
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.95 xG 1.69
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
425 Passes 334
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2025 Club America Club America 0-0 HT 0-0 Toluca Toluca MEK
02.03.2025 Club America Club America 3-0 HT 1-0 Toluca Toluca MEK
01.12.2024 Toluca Toluca 0-2 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
28.11.2024 Club America Club America 2-0 HT 0-0 Toluca Toluca MEK
10.11.2024 Toluca Toluca 4-0 HT 1-0 Club America Club America MEK
14.04.2024 Club America Club America 5-1 HT 3-1 Toluca Toluca MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toluca
2-0
AWAY Club America
1.33 xG 0.40
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
213 Passes 415
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Toluca vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toluca saw off Club America 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Toluca made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Toluca had 37% of the ball to Club America's 63%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.33 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Toluca and 2.00 for Club America.

What was the final score of Toluca vs Club America?

Toluca 2-0 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toluca vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Toluca 30%, draw 31%, Club America 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Club America) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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