Parnu JK Vaprus 1-0 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 26 Jun 2026

📅26/06/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +15%
1.91/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.43
+27% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
3W-0D-3L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2026 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
21.10.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
20.07.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-1 HT 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
01.06.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
18.04.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-0 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
06.10.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
1-0
AWAY FC Kuressaare
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus edged past FC Kuressaare 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Parnu JK Vaprus found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 50% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 50%, shots finished 4-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 1.00 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Kuressaare?

Parnu JK Vaprus 1-0 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parnu JK Vaprus win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 40%, draw 29%, FC Kuressaare 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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