Aarau 3-1 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
1.95
Over
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.84
No
40%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.33
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
26%
3.3
6+
10%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Aarau The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona The Market 21%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.73 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.06
1.47 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.64
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
13.9 Crosses 14.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bellinzona
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.67 xG 1.18
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
346 Passes 258
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-1 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
01.02.2025 Aarau Aarau 2-1 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
09.11.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-4 HT 0-3 Aarau Aarau İSV2
31.08.2024 Aarau Aarau 1-2 HT 1-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
26.04.2024 Aarau Aarau 0-2 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
29.03.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 5-2 HT 1-2 Aarau Aarau İSV2
REVIEW Aarau vs Bellinzona
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Aarau beat Bellinzona 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) landed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bellinzona led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Aarau against 2.00 for Bellinzona.

Aarau vs Bellinzona Result & Final Score

Aarau 3-1 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aarau vs Bellinzona Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aarau 47%, draw 24%, Bellinzona 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aarau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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