Nantes 1-3 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Jul 2025

Nantes
1-3 HT 1-2
Rennes
📅26/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Nantes vs Rennes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.74
Over 2.5
48%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.38
No
51%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
6.28
2-3 Goals
42%
2.11
4-5 Goals
20%
2.43
6+ Goals
10%
4.88
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.28 — our 28% vs market 10.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.85
1/2
6%
21.45
1/X
5%
11.85
X/1
15%
6.97
X/2
12%
6.1
X/X
13%
6.2
2/1
6%
23.75
2/2
20%
3.12
2/X
7%
11.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
33%
+19.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
67%
-19.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
68%
-19.4pp
51%
BTTS No
32%
+19.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nantes v Rennes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.35/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/1.22
-8% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.3

Nantes vs Rennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Rennes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.06 xG 1.86
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
292 Passes 406
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.04.2025 Rennes Rennes 2-1 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
08.12.2024 Nantes Nantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
20.04.2024 Nantes Nantes 0-3 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
01.10.2023 Rennes Rennes 3-1 HT 1-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
26.02.2023 Nantes Nantes 0-1 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
09.10.2022 Rennes Rennes 3-0 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
POST-MATCH Nantes vs Rennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes saw off Nantes 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Rennes made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nantes and 2.00 for Rennes.

What was the final score of Nantes vs Rennes?

Nantes 1-3 Rennes in the Friendlies on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantes vs Rennes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nantes 37%, draw 25%, Rennes 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rennes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rennes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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