Warrington Town 1-2 Farsley AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.7pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 38%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
1.37/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.25
-3% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warrington Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Farsley AFC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-2 HT 0-2 Warrington Town Warrington Town İCON
24.10.2023 Warrington Town Warrington Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warrington Town
1-2
AWAY Farsley AFC
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Warrington Town vs Farsley AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farsley AFC squeezed past Warrington Town 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Farsley AFC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Warrington Town had 53% of the ball to Farsley AFC's 47%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Warrington Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Warrington Town and 0.50 for Farsley AFC.

What was the final score of Warrington Town vs Farsley AFC?

Warrington Town 1-2 Farsley AFC in the England - Conference on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warrington Town vs Farsley AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warrington Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Warrington Town 39%, draw 24%, Farsley AFC 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Warrington Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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