Weymouth 0-1 Eastbourne Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.41
6+ Goals
8%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weymouth EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -29%
1.29/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.44
+0% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weymouth
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-0 HT 1-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
21.10.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 3-1 HT 2-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
01.04.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 0-1 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
08.10.2022 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 5-1 HT 3-1 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
08.02.2020 Weymouth Weymouth 2-2 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
29.10.2019 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-1 HT 1-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
POST-MATCH Weymouth vs Eastbourne Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough squeezed past Weymouth 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Eastbourne Borough found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastbourne Borough led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Weymouth and 1.83 for Eastbourne Borough.

What was the final score of Weymouth vs Eastbourne Borough?

Weymouth 0-1 Eastbourne Borough in the England - Conference on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weymouth vs Eastbourne Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Weymouth 34%, draw 26%, Eastbourne Borough 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough)
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