Brackley Town 1-0 South Shields — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No OUR CALL
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 27% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.7pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY South Shields EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.21/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.22
-32% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brackley Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY South Shields
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 South Shields South Shields 0-1 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
28.10.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-1 HT 1-0 South Shields South Shields İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brackley Town
1-0
AWAY South Shields
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs South Shields
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town nicked a narrow win over South Shields 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brackley Town as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Brackley Town had 51% of the ball to South Shields's 49%, shots finished 17-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Brackley Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brackley Town and 0.50 for South Shields.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs South Shields?

Brackley Town 1-0 South Shields in the England - Conference on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs South Shields?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 52%, draw 24%, South Shields 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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