Darlington 1883 2-2 Warrington Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.9
Over
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.36
2-3
39%
1.79
4-5
21%
3.52
6+
10%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.36 — our 30% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +13%
1.57/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.28
-5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Warrington Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
01.04.2024 Warrington Town Warrington Town 1-3 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
21.11.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-1 HT 1-0 Warrington Town Warrington Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
2-2
AWAY Warrington Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 18
11 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Warrington Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 and Warrington Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Darlington 1883 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 54% of the ball to Warrington Town's 46%, shots finished 20-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Darlington 1883 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Darlington 1883 and 1.00 for Warrington Town.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Warrington Town?

Darlington 1883 2-2 Warrington Town in the England - Conference on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Warrington Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 43%, draw 28%, Warrington Town 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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