Forge 1-2 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
14.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.48 — our 26% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +20%
1.65/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.35
+21% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 80%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
14.5 Crosses 12.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forge
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 1.57
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
334 Passes 461
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
21 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 1-0 Forge Forge KAPL
17.08.2025 Forge Forge 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
12.07.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 0-1 Forge Forge KAPL
13.05.2025 Forge Forge 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
02.11.2024 Forge Forge 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
12.10.2024 Forge Forge 0-2 HT 0-2 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
1-2
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.20 xG 1.02
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
392 Passes 364
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
39 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forge vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa nicked a narrow win over Forge 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Forge at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Forge had 53% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 47%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.20 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Forge and 1.00 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of Forge vs Atletico Ottawa?

Forge 1-2 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Forge 52%, draw 27%, Atletico Ottawa 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Forge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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