Dagenham & Redbridge 3-2 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Nov 2024

Dagenham & Redbridge
3-2 HT 0-0
Aldershot Town
📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Aldershot Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 28% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.72
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
14%
4.75
X/2
14%
7.47
X/X
14%
5.07
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2
10%
5.16
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dagenham & Redbridge v Aldershot Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +19%
1.55/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.56
+2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
122 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 132 · 92%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Aldershot Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Aldershot Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 3-2 HT 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
21.02.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
10.01.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
18.04.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
28.12.2021 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
05.04.2021 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-2 HT 0-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL

Dagenham & Redbridge 3-2 Aldershot Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
3-2
AWAY Aldershot Town
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 7
2 Passes 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dagenham & Redbridge vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dagenham & Redbridge squeezed past Aldershot Town 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Dagenham & Redbridge found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dagenham & Redbridge had 60% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 40%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dagenham & Redbridge had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dagenham & Redbridge and 1.00 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Dagenham & Redbridge vs Aldershot Town?

Dagenham & Redbridge 3-2 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dagenham & Redbridge 39%, draw 28%, Aldershot Town 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✗ Under 2.5
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