Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 26 Nov 2025

📅26/11/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
48%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
12%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
48%
Away Win
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 50%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.18/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.29
-6% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -19%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 84%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
13.4 Crosses 16.5
4.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Flamengo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.16 xG 1.74
52% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
363 Passes 342
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.08.2025 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BRK
28.07.2025 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
14.11.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
10.11.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BRK
03.11.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 3-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BRK
04.07.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-4 HT 0-2 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
1-1
AWAY Flamengo
1.10 xG 2.16
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
218 Passes 669
77% Pass Accuracy 91%
8 Box Touches 26
3 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro and Flamengo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Flamengo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 28% of the ball to Flamengo's 72%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.10 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 1.67 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo?

Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 26/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 24%, draw 28%, Flamengo 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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