Southport 2-0 Warrington Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.74
Over
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
43%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southport EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +14%
1.50/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.44
-9% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southport
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Warrington Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.11.2024 Southport Southport 3-0 HT 2-0 Warrington Town Warrington Town İNFAT
05.03.2024 Warrington Town Warrington Town 0-3 HT 0-2 Southport Southport İCON
05.08.2023 Southport Southport 0-4 HT 0-1 Warrington Town Warrington Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southport
2-0
AWAY Warrington Town
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Southport vs Warrington Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southport beat Warrington Town 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Southport made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Southport had 57% of the ball to Warrington Town's 43%, shots finished 14-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Southport had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Southport and 1.33 for Warrington Town.

What was the final score of Southport vs Warrington Town?

Southport 2-0 Warrington Town in the England - Conference on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southport vs Warrington Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southport win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Southport 40%, draw 30%, Warrington Town 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southport), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southport) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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