Liverpool vs Leicester City Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool v Leicester City — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Leicester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-1
Leicester City
İNLK
4-0
HT 3-0
Leicester City
HAZ
0-3
HT 0-2
Liverpool
İNP
2-1
HT 2-1
Leicester City
İNP
2-0
HT 1-0
Leicester City
İNP
1-0
HT 0-0
Liverpool
İNP
Liverpool 3-1 Leicester City — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool saw off Leicester City 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Liverpool had 69% of the ball to Leicester City's 31%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 2.03 to 0.34.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Liverpool and 0.50 for Leicester City.
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Leicester City?
Liverpool 3-1 Leicester City in the England - Premier League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Leicester City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 67%, draw 18%, Leicester City 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.